A note on my “political fallout” post - which I see continues to be misinterpreted, even by AsifY and Fugstar bhais (see comments here) At no point in the post do I criticize how the government has been approaching the Sidr disaster, and I think that if readers reread my previous post without assuming that I am criticizing, they will be hardpressed to find anything that suggests some kind of judgment of the SOE’s response on my part.

As I note in my comments, I simply have no way of knowing whether they are doing a good job or not. From a distance (cause that’s where I am situated) their approach and attitude seem sincere. Surely, as Fugstar notes, there are logistical, communication and transportation issues that hampered both the pre-Sidr evacuation and post-Sidr relief work. But these are not short-term problems, and one would hardly be fair in criticizing the SOE for them - unless some clear evidence of mismanagement or negligence appears. I have yet to see such evidence, and I do not expect there to have been wilful mismanagement or negligence, given what seems to me to be a sincere approach to the crisis. 

(In the mean time, kudos to the planners, both past and present - for it would only be fair to share the credit - for helping us avoid what could have been a larger number of deaths.)

The point of the post however was to put out my neck with an early prediction: There WILL be some political fallout from Cyclone Sidr. No matter how sincere the SOE has been in its response, the resource constraints that a country like ours continues to face have shown themselves in the difficulty that the administration has found in coping with the scale of the disaster. It is, I think, unfair to blame the SOE for these constraints. But what I think about deservedness blame is irrelevant here. The fact of the matter is that it is likely that the SOE government will be viewed as possibly to blame by the people who need relief on the ground for their failure (whatever the cause) for reaching that relief. They will ask why they had to wait, hungry and shelterless, and many will be (understadably) impatient of explanations. Some will think - whether accurately or not - that their MP’s would have been more responsive to their needs, and that they would have been better off under that system. Additionally, as food prices increase, the effects of the disaster will be felt beyond the strike zone of the cyclone, and beyond the temporary wait for electricity. Questions will be asked - and one might think that they will be unfair questions to ask - but it is foreseeable that they will be asked. Perhaps the hungry crowds will be able to understand the sincerity that the Chief Advisor was trying to convey in his statement, and will be inclined to forgive perceived faults. Or perhaps the crowds will be unable to look beyond the fact that they have been waiting for days for some relief that is yet to come. I can imagine it going either way. The Daily Star article seemed to say that it is the latter, as things stand right now. It would be interesting to see evidence of perceptions and reactions on the ground that suggest the contrary.

That’s all I was trying to say. It’s probably my fault for being less than clear - but acknowledging that still doesn’t stop being misinterpreted from smarting.

May be I should have a tag that tells readers when I am being descriptive rather than prescriptive.